Very good question. In my humble opinion a "large turnout" (40% or better) is reflective of a "motivitated" constituency. With that in mind I would think that the most "motivated" constituency in this election are those in favor of Brown. Subsequently, I would concur that a "large turnout", in this instance, would favor Scott Brown. Brown supporters are definately the more motivated of the 3 candidates.
Large vote counts favor Brown. Additionally because it is more difficult to "influence" a large vote count with fraud. Presumably if you were going to fudge 50,000 ballots it would be less influential if 3 million showed up to vote, as opposed to only 2.5 million. One last consideration is that "large turnout" gives more value to the ultimate winner. It would be more difficult to discount the "message" of the election if there are greater numbers of voters. Democrats would have to concede a "bigger message" from the people.
Just a simple opinion. Your thoughts?
I think this is a BIG MESSAGE election.
Go Scott Go !!